Namibia

When: 2021-2024

Purpose: Use CLEWs to support preparation of Namibia’s Sixth National Development Plan by linking food security, water supply, land use, energy planning, and emissions.

What happened: UN DESA, KTH, and a Technical Working Group led by the National Planning Commission developed a national CLEWs model using OSeMOSYS. The work included an induction workshop in Swakopmund and scenario development around improved agricultural productivity, reduced wheat and maize import dependency, and the cross-sector consequences of those choices.

Key insights:

• Namibia’s updated NDC context makes land, food, and energy integration essential: AFOLU accounts for about 78% of national emissions, while energy contributes about 18% and is the fastest-growing source.
• The emissions profile cited in project material is about 63% CO2, 21% methane, and 16% nitrous oxide, which means mitigation choices cut across power, agriculture, land management, and livestock systems.
• Namibia’s updated NDC aims to reduce GHG emissions by 21.996 MtCO2e by 2030 relative to a 24.167 MtCO2e business-as-usual path, equivalent to roughly 91% below BAU.
• The NDC implementation cost is estimated at USD 5.33 billion, or around NAD 80 billion, with about 10% expected to be unconditional.
• CLEWs gives the NDP6 process a way to test whether higher wheat and maize self-reliance increases pressure on water, power supply, land, or emissions before commitments are locked in.

Models: CLEWs, OSeMOSYS

Stakeholders: National Planning Commission, Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Land Reform, Ministry of Mines and Energy, Ministry of Environment, Forestry and Tourism, Namibia Statistics Agency, UNAM, NUST, RCO Namibia, FAO, WFP, UNDP, UNECA, UN DESA, and KTH.